THE ECONOMICS ASSOCIATION OF MALAWI’S REACTION TO THE STATE OF THE NATION ADDRESS

February 17, 2026

President Prof. Arthur Peter Mutharika delivered the SONA on 13 February 2026 under the theme “The Path to Economic Recovery: Delivering a People-Centred Development”.

We welcome the honest recognition of Malawi’s deep macroeconomic challenges—low growth, high inflation, forex shortages, and fiscal strain—and the realistic targets: GDP growth rising from 2.7% (2025) to 3.8% (2026) and 4.9% (2027), with inflation expected to fall below 21%.

Positive elements ECAMA supports:

  • Austerity at senior levels,     tighter spending controls, and forex reserve-building measures (gold     purchases, regulatory review)
  • Stronger public finance     discipline (ghost workers, fraudulent contracts, reduced travel)
  • Food-security interventions     that have helped stabilise maize prices (with calls for faster irrigation     & mega-farming progress)
  • Major CDF increase to MK5     billion per constituency + digital transparency
  • Structural investments: +51 MW     power, Special Economic Zones, mining exploration, rail & aviation     upgrades, health & social empowerment programmes

Areas needing more attention:

  • Huge new commitments (CDF     scale-up, youth/women soft loans, disability grants) could take 13–14% of     the budget—clear trade-offs are essential
  • Insufficient detail on cutting     business costs and easing regulatory burdens for the private sector
  • Agricultural strategy needs     stronger focus on extension, irrigation, markets, and commercialisation     beyond mega farms
  • Risks of rapid CDF expansion     (absorption, procurement, misuse) must be managed carefully
  • No mention of the heavy public     debt (≈MK22.4 trillion / 89% of GDP), where interest already consumes     nearly half of domestic revenue

In short, the SONA sets out a promising recovery direction. Real progress will depend on swift, transparent implementation and addressing these gaps.

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Blog Post

THE ECONOMICS ASSOCIATION OF MALAWI’S REACTION TO THE STATE OF THE NATION ADDRESS

February 17, 2026

President Prof. Arthur Peter Mutharika delivered the SONA on 13 February 2026 under the theme “The Path to Economic Recovery: Delivering a People-Centred Development”.

We welcome the honest recognition of Malawi’s deep macroeconomic challenges—low growth, high inflation, forex shortages, and fiscal strain—and the realistic targets: GDP growth rising from 2.7% (2025) to 3.8% (2026) and 4.9% (2027), with inflation expected to fall below 21%.

Positive elements ECAMA supports:

  • Austerity at senior levels,     tighter spending controls, and forex reserve-building measures (gold     purchases, regulatory review)
  • Stronger public finance     discipline (ghost workers, fraudulent contracts, reduced travel)
  • Food-security interventions     that have helped stabilise maize prices (with calls for faster irrigation     & mega-farming progress)
  • Major CDF increase to MK5     billion per constituency + digital transparency
  • Structural investments: +51 MW     power, Special Economic Zones, mining exploration, rail & aviation     upgrades, health & social empowerment programmes

Areas needing more attention:

  • Huge new commitments (CDF     scale-up, youth/women soft loans, disability grants) could take 13–14% of     the budget—clear trade-offs are essential
  • Insufficient detail on cutting     business costs and easing regulatory burdens for the private sector
  • Agricultural strategy needs     stronger focus on extension, irrigation, markets, and commercialisation     beyond mega farms
  • Risks of rapid CDF expansion     (absorption, procurement, misuse) must be managed carefully
  • No mention of the heavy public     debt (≈MK22.4 trillion / 89% of GDP), where interest already consumes     nearly half of domestic revenue

In short, the SONA sets out a promising recovery direction. Real progress will depend on swift, transparent implementation and addressing these gaps.

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Author
Joshua Thomson Chirambo

Joshua Thomson Chirambo is an Information Technology Technician Intern at ECAMA Secretariat.